Will The U.S. Break Apart? One Russian Political Analyst Says Yes. In 2010.
In recent weeks, however, he's been interviewed as much as twice a day about his predictions. "It's a record," says Prof. Panarin. "But I think the attention is going to grow even stronger." Prof. Panarin, 50 years old, is not a fringe figure. A former KGB analyst, he is dean of the Russian Foreign Ministry's academy for future diplomats. He is invited to Kremlin receptions, lectures students, publishes books, and appears in the media as an expert on U.S.-Russia relations.
"There's a 55-45% chance right now that disintegration will occur," he says. "One could rejoice in that process," he adds, poker-faced. "But if we're talking reasonably, it's not the best scenario -- for Russia." Though Russia would become more powerful on the global stage, he says, its economy would suffer because it currently depends heavily on the dollar and on trade with the U.S.
Mr. Panarin posits, in brief, that mass immigration, economic decline, and moral degradation will trigger a civil war next fall and the collapse of the dollar. Around the end of June 2010, or early July, he says, the U.S. will break into six pieces -- with Alaska reverting to Russian control.
The U.S. will then split along ethnic lines, and foreign powers will move in. California will form the nucleus of what he calls "The Californian Republic," and will be part of China or under Chinese influence. Texas will be the heart of "The Texas Republic," a cluster of states that will go to Mexico or fall under Mexican influence. Washington, D.C., and New York will be part of an "Atlantic America" that may join the European Union. Canada will grab a group of Northern states Prof. Panarin calls "The Central North American Republic." Hawaii, he suggests, will be a protectorate of Japan or China, and Alaska will be subsumed into Russia.
7 Comments:
12 29 08
As a Californian, I would rather die than live under Chinese control. The one thing that this guy is missing is the pleasure that we have in living as Americans AND our strong will!
Ditto.
And he forgets how well armed most Americans still are.
Very good!
Actually, Chinese control wouldn't be that bad considering they are one of the few large countries not in debt. California under California rule has essentially created a cesspit in the hole over the last few decades.
That said, this won't happen. Civil war is a lonnggggshot, and even then, a NAU is more likely to form out of any restructuring than some banana republics of nations halfway across the globe.
Seriously, it's a faaarrrr leap from social unrest to international annexation.
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